Turkish Journal of Geriatrics 2018 , Vol 21, Issue 2
CHANGES IN THE HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURES OF THE ELDERLY: HOUSEHOLD PROJECTIONS FOR TURKEY, 2016?2050
Şebnem BEŞE CANPOLAT1
1Turkish Statistical Institute, Head of Demographic Statistics Department, Ankara, Turkey DOI : 10.31086/tjgeri.2018240420 Introduction: The main objective of this study was to analyze the current household patterns of the elderly in Turkey and project in what kinds of households the elderly will live in the future.

Materials and Method: The household structure of the elderly population was analyzed using tabulated data from Turkey"s Address-Based Population Registration System, for the first time ever. Household projections were produced according to the headship rate method.

Results: The percentage of households with elderly persons will continuously increase, from 22.5% in 2016 to approximately 41% in 2050. The presence of elderly in all household types will continuously increase during that period, except extended-family households. While in 2016 9.9% of nuclear families lived with at least one elderly person, by 2050 this percentage will have risen to 19.6%. One-person elderly households will also continuously increase, from 5.4% in 2016 to 14.7% in 2050.

Conclusion: The elderly population in Turkey will mostly live in one-family households in the future, as is the case at present, but there will be an increase in the number of elderly living in one-person households. In 2050, about 15% of all households in Turkey will be oneperson elderly households. The elderly will steadily move from co-residence lifestyles to single-resident lifestyles. The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the official views of the Turkish Statistical Institute. Keywords : Aged; Family characteristics; Demography; Life style